Continuing the Madness: 2025 Formula 1 Qatar Grand Prix Betting Predictions & Winning Odds (November 30)
F1 returns to Lusail for the Qatar Grand Prix 2025, featuring a fast 5.419 km layout that rewards straight-line speed and tyre management. Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, Oscar Piastri, George Russell and Charles Leclerc headline the favourites. We deliver updated odds, deep-dive driver profiles, and a few value-backed predictions.
Key Info About The Formula One 2025 Qatar GP
The F1 Qatar Grand Prix 2025 will take place at Lusail International Circuit from 28–30 November, with the main race scheduled for 30 November 2025. The event uses the sprint format that continues to shape the season finale strategies and points battles.
ℹ️ Tournament:
2025 Formula One World Championships, F1 Qatar Grand Prix 2025
🛣 Venue:
Lusail International Circuit, Lusail, Qatar
🗓️ Dates:
28-29 November (Practice, Qualifying & Sprint) – Sunday, 30 November (Main Race)
⏰ Time:
4:00 PM GMT on Sunday
Lusail International Circuit Analysis
With a length of 5.419 km and 16 corners, Lusail stands out as one of the calendar’s longest and fastest circuits, offering ample room for reputable auto racing bookmakers to offer multiple markets. High-speed corners predominate over heavy braking zones, placing a premium on aerodynamic efficiency, rear stability, and tyre endurance under high lateral loads. Pirelli typically brings harder compounds (C1–C3) to cope with thermal and wear demands. The long main straight is ideal for DRS, and a technical mid-section rewards a balanced chassis and strategic tyre management. Tyre conservation and pit-stop timing are often deciding factors here.
Formula 1 Qatar Grand Prix’s Previous Winners
Here are еру recent winners of the race in Lusail:
2024: Max Verstappen
2023: Max Verstappen
2022: Not Held
2021: Lewis Hamilton
The sprint race was held during the last two years, with Oscar Piastri winning both.
Formula 1 Qatar GP 2025 Odds & Favorites
Based on current markets ahead of the final rounds, popular Formula 1 bookies see these as the leading contenders for the win:
Verstappen remains the benchmark at Lusail after his back-to-back wins in 2023 and 2024, where he handled chaotic race conditions, including multiple safety-car restarts, with remarkable composure. His Red Bull RB20 demonstrated long-run tyre stability and strong straight-line pace, exploiting DRS zones to pull away. Despite some admitted balance issues after the sprint and 8-place finish, the team optimised the car for qualifying and race runs, which allowed Verstappen to secure pole and convert it to victory. It’s hard to underestimate the importance of both Sprint and Main Race for Max, who is chasing the Driver’s Championship, being level with Piastri and losing 24 to Norris with two GPs left.
Lando Norris @ 2.75 (7/4)
Norris has arguably enjoyed the strongest season of his career in 2025, leading the championship at various points thanks to 7 wins and a very high podium rate for McLaren. McLaren’s MCL39 has proved adaptable across diverse circuits, and Lusail’s mix of speed and tyre stress could suit them well. The Las Vegas disqualification of both McLaren cars for excessive skid-block wear was a technical issue rather than driver error, which tightened the championship race and added pressure going into Qatar. The team may opt for conservative setups or heightened scrutiny over tyre wear, which could affect maximum aggressive performance. Anyway, Norris’s racecraft and experience this season make him a strong candidate, while simply beating Verstappen and Piastri by a few points during the weekend can secure him a championship.
Oscar Piastri @ 6.0 (5/1)
Piastri’s 2025 season has been defined by reliability, consistency, and opportunistic speed. According to 2025 statistics, he and Norris sit at the top of the McLaren standings with a combined dominance in wins and podiums, underlining the team’s strength. Notably, Piastri has already demonstrated his ability to shine at Lusail as he won the sprint race there in both 2024 and 2023. Such form indicates he knows how to navigate the circuit’s unique demands. With increased pressure after Verstappen tightened him, Piastri might unlock a freer performance. Moreover, his ability to extract maximum qualifying performance could see him start in the top rows, giving him a genuine shot at podium contention or even a surprise win if circumstances align.
George Russell @ 12.0 (11/1)
Mercedes has shown steady improvement over 2025, especially in straight-line speed and race stability — two qualities critical at Lusail. Russell’s driving style, focused on tyre preservation and clean execution, fits the demands of a long, high-speed circuit. In 2024, he finished P4 at Qatar, demonstrating that when the car is right, he can be competitive. If Mercedes brings upgrades or finds an aero balance, Russell could be a dark-horse contender for a top-5 or even podium finish, especially if others falter under pressure or strategy.
Charles Leclerc @ 16.0 (15/1)
Ferrari’s one-lap pace continues to be a strength, and Leclerc’s 2024 runner-up finish at Qatar proves he can perform when the car is competitive. Lusail rewards clean aerodynamic balance and tyre management — areas where Ferrari has occasionally excelled. On a good weekend, Leclerc could push for top-3, particularly if qualifying goes well and safety cars shuffle the order. However, tyre degradation and race strategy will be decisive, while Ferrari needs precise execution to challenge for the podium.
McLaren has been the fastest team this season by a wide margin, with drivers collecting the majority of wins and podiums in 2025. Their car demonstrates versatility on circuits requiring aerodynamic balance, tyre preservation, and strong mid- to high-speed cornering, which suit Lusail conditions well. Norris comes in with championship pressure and motivation to re-establish control after the Las Vegas 2025 DSQ. His season-long consistency and proven pace make him a strong candidate who should show maximum even before the main race. He was under great pressure in the last three races, but secured poles in them all and won the sprint in Brazil as well. His major opponent in the recent races, Max Verstappen, can struggle with the car settings as Red Bulls can try to find something out of the box to help their driver, but can face another troubles like last year.
Verstappen has proven mastery of Lusail, with wins in both 2023 and 2024. His 2024 victory came despite a penalty pushing him back to P2 on the grid, but he still snatched the lead into Turn 1 and controlled the race. The combination of Red Bull’s top-end speed, DRS advantage, and Verstappen’s racecraft under pressure makes him the most likely winner. The former races, especially last year’s, featured multiple safety cars, through which Verstappen remained composed while rivals stumbled; he managed tyres intelligently and pulled the gap. Expect him to fire at full cylinders in the main battle for points, and his experience and endurance should help him.
Main Race Points Finish – Oliver Bearman @ 2.0 (1/1)
Lusail’s long lap, high-speed flow, and historically clean races often result in compact finishes, especially when tyre wear is managed well. The 2024 Qatar GP saw a tightly packed top-10, and Oliver Bearman looks like the man who should handle all the competition around him. With the rookie of the year to be at stake, the Brit made five point finishes in a row, and with the gained stability, he should prevail over the pack of unstable drivers.
Recommended F1 Qatar GP 2025 Betting Tips
As teams and drivers converge on Lusail, the F1 spectacle returns with a potent mix of speed, strategy, and pressure, making the Qatar weekend one of the most unpredictable yet strategically rich events of the season. For those eyeing valuable Formula 1 betting tips, our recommendation for this weekend looks like the following:
With a strong qualifying, good tyre management, and clean restarts, we could see a familiar face atop the podium, with McLaren once again mixing it at the front and the field clustering in tight finishes. The keys will be pace, composure, and tyre conservation.
Jimmy is our on-duty tipster and writer. His favorite sports are cricket, tennis, and basketball. If you’re looking for the best betting tips in the business, Jimmy’s your guy. His tips and events previews are among the most read at BetZillion.
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