The last regular round of the group stage in Europe has already started, with a few groups (D, F, I, K) already finished their battles. However, the remaining groups still need the last battle and a chance for either direct qualification or gaining a playoff berth. In some groups, the first two places are already known, even with the last game left, so here is a look at the most interesting and intriguing matchups of Matchday 6:
|   Date | Home Team | Away Team | BZ’s Betting Tip | Odds | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2025 | Germany | Slovakia | Over 3.0 Goals | 2.00 | Despite losing the first game against Slovakia, Germany doesn’t need to win this tie for direct qualification due to better goal difference. Still, Germany is strong at home, and both teams have shown goal-scoring ability. Moreover, Germany will be focused on winning and getting revenge, and every goal scored in the game will make it hotter. With the second place secured for both, they can try to outsource their opponents for a direct ticket. |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Netherlands | Lithuania | Netherlands (-3) Handicap | 1.85 | The Dutch are overwhelming favorites, and they play at home. Lithuania is weak defensively, especially in the away games. With the first spot already guaranteed for the Oranje, they can come up to the game without extra pressure and have fun. The Netherlands will likely dominate and win by a comfortable margin, celebrating the WC 2026 qualification with their fans. |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Kosovo | Switzerland | BTTS Yes & Total Over 2.5 | 2.45 | Mathematically, Kosovo can still gain the first spot over the Swiss team, but they should overcome the +11 goal difference between the sides. While this is impossible and Switzerland is heavily favored, Kosovo at home can be dangerous. Moreover, we expect them to attack a lot, with both teams focusing more on scoring than on defensive responsibilities. |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Sweden | Slovenia | Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | This game could be decisive for both sides, but they failed their games against Kosovo and Switzerland, being at the bottom. Sweden is favoured, but the campaign has been patchy, showing vulnerabilities at both ends. Slovenia can be dangerous at counter-attackers, while Sweden will try to close the disgusting group stage with a win at home, which should lead to a lot of goals. |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Scotland | Denmark | Scotland to win | 3.45 | This is a high-stakes, winner-takes-all style fixture, with Denmark being marginal favourites. However, Scotland at home is always a dangerous opponent, even against the best teams (they beat even Spain at home last qualification). With one point difference in favor of Denmark, the Scots will try to press and attack a lot, and all the chances they will find the net a few times. The draw will help the guests to stay first in the group, but we expect super motivated hosts to break the defense that conceded two in Denmark against Belarus. |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Spain | Turkey | Over 3.5 goals | 2.05 | Spain has been scoring heavily, especially in qualifiers, while Turkey doesn’t have the best defence. After being trashed at home (0-6), Turkie will try to score in the away game, while Spain should respond a few times to prove their +14 superior goal difference to date. Expect a fun attacking game, where Spain can concede but surely will try to score a lot in front of their home crowd. |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Wales | North Macedonia | Total Over 2.5 | 2.15 | The fight for the second spot in Group J will be fierce, as Wales need to win to overcome a better goal difference of North Macedonia. Such games are often very cautious, with a few goals maximum, but we predict an against-the-trend outcome. The most dangerous scenario is Wales scoring an early goal and focusing on defense heavily, but with home support, they should try to score on the counterattacks. The home side also has the backup playoffs plan via the Nations League, so they cannot be so scared about the negative result here and try to outscore the guests. |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Austria | Bosnia & Herzegovina | Total Under 2.5 | 2.05 | The home side is in a pole position for the direct qualification, but they need to win or draw against Bosnia. Austria is the favorite, but they should be careful so they won’t try to outscore a dangerous opponent. The guest will also try to save their chances for the last minute, so it’s very likely to be a low-scoring affair. |
