Late Goals Betting Strategy

Late Goals Betting Examples

Here’s a simple illustration of how bets on late goals work. Let’s say you stake on a game between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid at 2.0 odds, predicting that there’ll be a goal in the final 10 minutes. If either team scores anytime between the 80th minute and the 90th minute, you win. In this case, a $10 wager will give you a $20 return.

Like every other bet, the late-goal bet requires careful and thorough analysis. Although some bookies allow you to place “interval bets” pre-game (such as betting that a goal will be scored in the final 10 minutes), the late goals strategy works best with in-play wagers due to dynamic changes of the odds, based on what’s going on at the court.

Regular Goal Bet vs Live Late Goal Bet

The table below shows how betting live on late goals differs from regular goal bets:

Late Goals Betting Strategies and How to Use Them

Below are some important late goals betting strategies to employ:

Pre-match Analysis

The first thing you can do for successful late goals betting is to do some pre-game research. Of course, a lot of it can change as the match unfolds, but here are some basic tips to use when doing your pre-match analysis:

Identify Teams With Good Late-Game Performance

Focus on identifying teams that can score late goals. Going through factors like their recent matches, player availability, form, etc., will help you determine their performance level.

Analyze Historical Data for Late Goals

One major skill that shows betting expertise is properly analyzing and interpreting data or stats. In this context, you’re analyzing stats that provide relevant information on goal trends.

It will help you figure out which teams usually score or concede late goals, as well as leagues where late goals are prevalent. Here’s another expert tip from our BetZillion team – make sure to also focus on leagues where the stoppage time commonly exceeds 2 or 3 minutes.

For instance, the Chinese Super League was very beneficial in this context in the 2025 season, with stoppage time often going up to 10 minutes. This will give you some extra breathing room and increase your chances of hitting a late goal.

Consider Team Stamina and Defensive Weaknesses

A team’s defensive skills and stamina can indicate how they perform late in games. Teams with weak defenses or low stamina may struggle, especially towards the end when opponents are more desperate to score.

Making a Decision In-game

As mentioned, you can also place live or in-game late-goal bets. Here are some factors worth considering if you’re planning on taking the in-play route:

Know When to Place Late Goals Bets

Timing is key when placing late goal bets. Typically, in football, which is one of the best sports for placing late goal wagers, it should be after the 75th minute.

Of course, it all depends on the league, teams, and the current flow of the game up until that moment. The optimal range for hitting odds around 2.00 on late goals is between the 75th and 80th minute. For those willing to risk it even more, doing it in the 85th minute or so will usually result in odds that are around or at least close to 3.00.

Adjust Bets Based on Performance

Live wagering gives you the opportunity to place your bets based on real-time performance. You can spot changes in the pace of the game or other factors like injured players, total shot attempts, woodwork hits, or yellow/red cards.

Protect Your Stakes

Although betting live tends to yield higher odds and potentially higher returns, you have to be wise when making your bets. Do not wager more than you can afford to lose, especially when dealing with high-risk options.

Late Goals Betting Markets

Here are some of the most common late goals betting markets to explore:

Over/Under Bets

The over/under market allows you to predict the total number of late goals to be scored. For example, you could bet on the over 1.5 option after the 75th-minute mark. It means there must be at least two goals after the 75th minute and before the match ends.

Home/Away Team Over/Under

With this option, you’re betting over/under on either of the competing teams. For example, in a game between Arsenal and Burnley, you can bet over 1.5 on Arsenal after the 75th minute. It means that Arsenal must score at least two goals after the 75th minute and before the match ends. Or, in case the score is already 1-0 at the moment of placing your wager, it means you’d need Arsenal to score one more for the bet to win.

The odds on the underdogs (in this case, Burnley) are often way more rewarding, but also carry a higher risk in the late phase of the game. Still, if you do your digging, you might be able to hit odds higher than 3.00 or even 4.00 on underdogs to score as the halftime is coming to a close.

Next Team to Score

To wager on this market, you have to bet live and follow the progress of the game. Basically, you’re guessing which team will score next after you make your bet. Given our previous example, if you placed a bet on Arsenal to score next and Burnley nets it first, you’d lose it.

What Will Be the Next Goal

You can also bet on the type of goal that will be scored next after you place your wager. It could be a header, a penalty goal, a free kick, or an own goal. Also, you have to bet live to use this option.

Betting on the Goalscorer

With this option, you’re predicting the specific player who will score. For example, if you bet on Jude Bellingham as the goalscorer in a Real Madrid game, he has to be on the score sheet for your wager to win.

Another variation is the last goalscorer betting option. It involves punting on the last person to score in a match. For example, if you stake on Harry Kane to score last in a Bayern FC match, you’d win the bet if he scores the closing goal.

Interval Bets – Time of Next Goal

The interval bet option requires you to predict the timeframe in which a score will be scored. For example, you can wager on a goal occurring between the 80th and 90th minute of a match. If any player scores within that time frame, your bet wins.

Result in Rest of Game 1X2

This one is also among the main types of late goal wagers that you’d have to bet on live to win. In this case, you can punt on the winner of the rest of the game at any point in the match.

For instance, let’s say you’re betting on the game between Arsenal and Burnley in the 60th minute with the result being 0-1. In this case, if you stake on Arsenal to win the rest of the game, even a 1-1 draw would mean your wager is a winner. In other words, the team you’ve bet on doesn’t have to win the match in general; they just need to win the rest of it.

Exact Result

This market requires you to predict the exact score of the game. There are, however, different variants of this option. You can predict the exact score for the entire match, for either half, or even for a specific time frame.

Where Can I Try the Late Goal Betting Strategy?

Many sportsbooks allow live betting on late goals. However, the best bookmakers like BetAndYou online or StarBet app are usually the renowned ones. Here are some of the best sportsbooks to try out the late goal betting strategy:

• bet365: bet365 offers all the different variants of the late-goal bet options, such as over/under wagers, goalscorer, exact score, etc. They also offer competitive odds, as well as attractive bonuses.
• William Hill: This bookie covers several in-game betting options, offering different time frames for interval wagers. They also cover other late goal betting markets such as over/under, next scorer, last goal scorer, and others.
• SkyBet: Finally, SkyBet offers very competitive odds and a wide array of late goal markets to stake on. Plus, they have live streaming options with crisp visuals to help you follow up with the on-court action and place some winning bets.

Late Goals Betting Strategy Tips and Tricks

Follow these tips for more successful late-goal bets:

Select a Bookmaker With a Good Live Betting Offer

Many late-goal betting options are only available when wagering on live matches. Hence, it’s important that you use a sportsbook that offers competitive in-play odds and helpful tools like in-game streams, live stats, and previous match history.

Proper Game Selection for A Late Live Bet

You can’t just pick any game for late-goal bets. You must consider certain factors. For example, it’s advisable to stake on games that involve attacking teams or games between competitive teams. Such games tend to yield multiple goals, some of which may be scored late.

Timing the Late Goal In-play Bet

Timing is key, especially when it comes to live betting. The odds might be tempting, as they usually get bigger as the game nears the end. Even so, you should only place a wager once you’ve considered all the factors, like the current flow of the game, substituted players, and other details.

Sometimes, it also pays off to bet on a late goal in stoppage time if the match had been extended for more than 5 or 10 minutes due to VAR checks, injuries, or possible interruptions.

Finding the Best Late Goal Betting Market – Live Analysis

Proper analysis will also help you determine the ideal late-goal market to bet on. Depending on the engagement you’re seeing from both teams, you can choose from options like over/under, interval wagers, exact team to score next, or even exact goalscorer.

Also, it’s important to understand what each option means so you don’t mistakenly place the wrong wager. For example, the last goal bet involves predicting which team will score the last goal. The meaning of “Last Goal – None” is simply that none of the competing teams will score.

Compare Live Betting Odds From Betting Providers

Live odds are subject to change at any moment, especially as the end of the match is drawing near. Because of that, it’s advisable to always do some odds shopping by quickly comparing the prices on the exact markets you wish to wager on across multiple bookies.

This way, you’ll be guaranteed to get the best odds for the highest possible return if you manage to hit a late goal.

Combine Betting on Late Goals With a Good Betting Strategy

Your late goal bets should be combined with a good overall betting strategy. You can consider popular strategies like system wagering, especially when dealing with multiple selections. Regardless of the strategy you choose, always ensure that your bet is based on adequate research and analysis.

Overcoming the Temptation of Impulsive Bets

Considering the high odds of betting on late goals, it’s easy to get carried away and stake more than you can afford to. It’s always wise to remind yourself why these odds are so high in the first place – you’d be wagering on goals being scored in the nick of time.

It’s important not to go overboard by wagering on too many games at once, no matter how likely a win seems. Take your bets one game at a time, and make sure you understand each bet type before you make up your mind.

Bankroll Management and Betting Responsibly

Proper bankroll management will help you retain your winnings when you win and limit your losses when you lose. It’s the key to successful long-term betting. Therefore, avoid taking large, riskier wagers, and never chase losses.

Remember, betting is not a get-rich-quick scheme. As long as you stay in it for the fun alone, you’ll also have a decent chance of winning on late goal scoring.

Pros and Cons of Late Goals Betting

Like every bet type, the late-goal wagering market has pros and cons.