Last Chance to Catch Lando? 2025 Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix Betting Predictions & Winning Odds (November 22)

2025 Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix Predictions & Betting Odds

This Formula 1 Las Vegas GP 2025 betting preview sets the stage for one of the fastest and most unpredictable rounds of the season. Held under the lights of the Las Vegas Strip, the race is positioned near the end of the 2025 calendar and often plays a critical role in championship storylines.

Key Info About The Formula One 2025 Las Vegas GP

The 2025 Las Vegas Grand Prix returns for another high-speed night race on the Strip, featuring extreme top-speed demands, challenging tyre warm-up, and high strategic volatility. This guide delivers key circuit insights, past winners, odds on the top five favourites, expanded form analysis for each contender, and three reinforced predictions. Covering everything from qualifying strength to tyre degradation patterns, it offers a comprehensive look at the weekend’s most actionable betting angles.

The F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix 2025 takes place on 20–22 November 2025, with the main race scheduled for Saturday night. The 6.201 km Las Vegas Strip Circuit features long straights, rapid resets after heavy braking zones, and cooler temperatures that complicate tyre warm-up and degradation. As one of the season’s most unique setups, it consistently produces strategy-heavy and safety-car-influenced races.

ℹ️ Tournament: 2025 Formula One World Championships, F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix 2025
🛣 Venue: Las Vegas Strip Circuit, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
🗓️ Dates: 20-21 November (Practice & Qualifying) – Saturday, 22nd November (Main Race)
⏰ Time: 4:00 AM GMT on Saturday

Las Vegas Strip Circuit Analysis

The 2025 Formula 1 in Las Vegas unfolds on a street layout combining three enormous straights, sweeping corners, and low-grip nighttime conditions. With cars surpassing 350 km/h, the track ranks among the highest top-speed venues. Teams must find a rare aerodynamic compromise: minimal drag for the straights yet enough stability for Turn 12’s technical entry and the Sector 2 complex. Tyre temperature remains the single biggest challenge, influencing stint lengths, compound selection, and pit-stop timing, all under tough Nevada night cold conditions.

Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix’s Previous Winners

The history of the 2025 Las Vegas GP Formula One venue includes the early Caesars Palace GPs in 1980th, and the modern Strip Circuit events. The last winners in the gambling paradise were the following:

  • 2023: Max Verstappen
  • 2024: George Russell

Although modern data is limited, early races show a clear pattern: drivers with superior tyre discipline and straight-line efficiency prevail. Still, the majority of bookies for the auto races showed big odds differences for a lot of markets.

Formula 1 Las Vegas GP 2025 Odds & Favorites

Current market leaders in Formula 1 Las Vegas GP 2025 odds include Verstappen, Norris, Russell, Piastri, and Antonelli. These prices shift significantly once FP2 long-run pace figures appear. Historically, Vegas odds sharpen quickly, as race simulations provide the clearest predictive value on this extreme-speed layout.

Max Verstappen
Best odds:
2.4 (7/5)
4.6
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4.9
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4.2
-
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Lando Norris
Best odds:
2.8 (9/5)
4.6
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4.9
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4.2
-
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George Russel
Best odds:
5.0 (4/1)
4.6
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4.9
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4.2
-
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Oscar Piastri
Best odds:
6.5 (11/2)
4.6
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4.9
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4.2
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Kimi Antonelli
Best odds:
11.0 (10/1)
4.6
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4.9
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4.2
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Max Verstappen @ 2.4 (7/5)

Verstappen remains one of the most efficient one-lap performers in 2025, still extracting elite qualifying speed even when Red Bull’s race trim is inconsistent. His braking stability and deployment efficiency are tailor-made for the Strip’s long straights. Verstappen’s tyre management has also improved across recent races, with Red Bull reverting to more predictable setup philosophies. His Vegas strength comes from disciplined corner entries, allowing stronger traction on exit — a vital factor in cold conditions. If Red Bull avoids overheating the rear in Sectors 1 and 3, Verstappen becomes the most complete all-around threat, and the best Formula One bookmakers know this perfectly.

Lando Norris @ 2.8 (9/5)

Norris leads the championship thanks to relentless podium accumulation and one of the most balanced cars on the grid. McLaren’s 2025 package excels in straight-line speed while maintaining corner stability — a combination few teams can match on a hybrid street circuit. Norris is also one of the grid’s smoothest drivers on front-tyre management, giving him consistency during long stints. His confidence under braking and calm defensive driving have translated into strong results in volatile races, which are ideal traits for Las Vegas, especially with high safety-car probability and short DRS zones that reward smart tyre preservation.

George Russell @ 5.0 (4/1)

Russell thrives on high-speed stop-start tracks, and his 2024 Vegas win reflects his precision driving in conditions with inconsistent grip. Mercedes’ 2025 chassis has made strong gains in rear stability, allowing Russell to brake later and rotate the car more aggressively in mid-speed corners. His qualifying form has also improved — important at Vegas, where track evolution can add 1–2 seconds between FP1 and Q3. Russell tends to excel in chaotic late-race reshuffles, which is especially relevant at this circuit, where strategy and safety cars frequently reshuffle the order.

Oscar Piastri @ 6.5 (11/2)

Piastri’s technical consistency positions him as a dark-horse contender. His clean cornering technique reduces tyre energy loss on cold surfaces, making him particularly effective in circuits with variable grip like Las Vegas. McLaren’s setup direction in 2025 has also tended to favour Piastri’s preference for predictable rear-end rotation. If qualifying performance places him within DRS range of the front row, his race pace stability over longer stints could allow him to outperform drivers with more aggressive tyre usage.

Kimi Antonelli @ 11.0 (10/1)

Despite Ferrari’s entry into Vegas with the potential for high speed, Mercedes remains the best-prepared for the track in Nevada. It gives an edge even for inexperienced Antonelli compared to Leclerc, who historically performs well on street circuits requiring precise braking modulation. However, Antonelli has shown rapid adaptation to low-grip conditions and has shown strong form in the last couple of races, which put him ahead of the Monocan driver and with good chances for another podium finish after his silver in Brazil.

F1 Las Vegas GP Predictions 2025

Below are 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix predictions built around circuit demands, tyre behaviour, historical patterns, and team form.

Lando Norris to Win Qualification @ 3.1 (21/10)

Event Prediction
Lando Norris to Win Qualification
Best odds:
3.1 (21/10)
Agree with prediction?
(1 voted)

1 (100%)

0

Norris’s race craft, tyre management efficiency, and McLaren’s aerodynamic balance make him one of the most reliable drivers for Vegas. His 2025 long-run metrics show excellent degradation control on medium and hard compounds, while his last two races were near perfect. After reclaiming the top spot in the Drivers’ standings, McLaren’s driver showed great focus and an excellent leading mindset in Sao Paulo. With an elite rate of collecting great laps during qualifications and lowered pressure (24-point lead over Piastri and 49 over Verstappen), finishing at the top of the Q3 session looks underrated. Lando also knows how to be fast in Las Vegas, delivering the fastest lap in 2024.

Top-10 Finish: Alex Albon @ 2.05 (21/20)

Event Prediction
Top-10 Finish: Alex Albon
Best odds:
2.05 (21/20)
Agree with prediction?
(1 voted)

1 (100%)

0

The eighth in the driver’s standings has had a moderate season so far, showing some great results and finishing four times in the top 5. Although the Thai driver is pretty safe with 30 30-point lead ahead of the chasing pack, he needs to step up and show Williams’ potential. His last five races were without points, but the fastest lap in Sao Paulo should become a nice boost for his confidence ahead of the race in Nevada. Expect him to return to point-scoring form, and a top-10 finish is highly likely for Alex Albon.

Race Win & Fastest Lap – George Russell @ 13.0 (12/1)

Risky Bet
Race Win & Fastest Lap - George Russell
Best odds:
13.0 (12/1)
Agree with prediction?
(1 voted)

0

(100%) 1

Las Vegas seems to be another good option for Russell to claim the gold after his dominant race last year. His consistent control over tyre degradation put him pretty high, and the cold night temperatures and rapid surface cooling behind safety cars fit his style. With his younger partner putting some pressure on the experienced Brit, George needs to show who is a frontrunner in the team, and he is able to deliver both a race win and the fastest lap.

The unique combination of top-speed demands, unpredictable grip, and volatile race flow makes Las Vegas one of the most tactically rich rounds of the season. By focusing on high-return tips for Formula 1, here are our recommendations for the Las Vegas race:

Lando Norris to Win Qualification
Best odds:
3.1 (21/10)
4.6
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4.9
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4.2
-
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Top-10 Finish: Alex Albon
Best odds:
2.05 (21/20)
4.6
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4.9
75% up to $750
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4.2
-
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Of course, finding the most effective 2025 Formula 1 Las Vegas GP betting tips and valuable opportunities before odds tighten after the first practice is quite risky. However, even if the race becomes strategically chaotic, qualifying markets remain pretty attractive, while the ability to adapt quickly to changing grip levels puts some drivers higher than others.

Author
Writer & Tipster

Jimmy is our on-duty tipster and writer. His favorite sports are cricket, tennis, and basketball. If you’re looking for the best betting tips in the business, Jimmy’s your guy. His tips and events previews are among the most read at BetZillion.

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