NBA Market Size: Comparing All 30 Teams

NBA Market Size

New York is the NBA’s largest U.S. media market, but media rank alone does not fully describe the size of a team’s home market. There is no single official NBA market-size metric. In this analysis, I compare teams using three measures:

  1. Media size – Nielsen Designated Market Area (DMA) rank for the 2025-26 television season. Nielsen defines the U.S. as 210 non-overlapping local television markets.
  2. Population size – the population of the team's home metropolitan area in 2025, based on the U.S. Census Bureau estimates.
  3. Economic size – the GDP of the team's home metropolitan area in 2022, based on the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis data.

These measures describe different geographic and economic characteristics of a market. Nielsen DMAs and Census metropolitan areas do not have identical boundaries, so population and GDP should be read alongside the DMA ranking rather than as estimates for the DMA itself.

I also compare the three market measures with Forbes' 2025 NBA franchise valuations to examine how closely the size of a team's home market relates to the value of the franchise.

NBA Market Size Rankings for 2025-26

NBA Team Nielsen Media Market Home Metro Population 2025 Home Metro GDP 2022 Forbes Value 2025
New York Knicks New York (#1) 20.11M US$2,171.5B US$9.75B (#3)
Brooklyn Nets New York (#1) 20.11M US$2,171.5B US$5.60B (#9)
Los Angeles Lakers Los Angeles (#2) 12.84M US$1,235.9B US$10.00B (#2)
LA Clippers Los Angeles (#2) 12.84M US$1,235.9B US$7.50B (#4)
Chicago Bulls Chicago (#3) 9.43M US$845.2B US$6.00B (#6)
Dallas Mavericks Dallas–Fort Worth (#4) 8.48M US$692.8B US$5.10B (#13)
Philadelphia 76ers Philadelphia (#5) 6.33M US$523.9B US$5.45B (#10)
Houston Rockets Houston (#6) 7.90M US$645.8B US$5.90B (#7)
Atlanta Hawks Atlanta (#7) 6.48M US$534.3B US$5.00B (#14)
Washington Wizards Washington, D.C. (#8) 6.47M US$664.6B US$4.70B (#16)
Golden State Warriors San Francisco–Oakland–San Jose (#9) 4.63M US$731.7B US$11.00B (#1)
Boston Celtics Boston (#10) 5.03M US$575.8B US$6.70B (#5)
Phoenix Suns Phoenix (#12) 5.23M US$368.7B US$5.43B (#11)
Detroit Pistons Detroit (#14) 4.39M US$307.9B US$3.65B (#27)
Orlando Magic Orlando (#15) 2.96M US$197.2B US$3.90B (#25)
Minnesota Timberwolves Minneapolis–St. Paul (#16) 3.79M US$328.6B US$3.60B (#28)
Denver Nuggets Denver (#17) 3.09M US$289.5B US$4.60B (#17)
Miami Heat Miami–Fort Lauderdale (#18) 6.39M US$490.6B US$5.70B (#8)
Cleveland Cavaliers Cleveland–Akron (#19) 2.17M US$163.9B US$4.80B (#15)
Sacramento Kings Sacramento (#20) 2.48M US$177.3B US$4.45B (#18)
Charlotte Hornets Charlotte (#21) 2.94M US$232.9B US$3.80B (#26)
Portland Trail Blazers Portland (#23) 2.54M US$205.4B US$4.25B (#22)
Indiana Pacers Indianapolis (#26) 2.21M US$186.9B US$4.20B (#23)
Utah Jazz Salt Lake City (#28) 1.31M US$137.1B US$4.10B (#24)
San Antonio Spurs San Antonio (#31) 2.81M US$167.1B US$4.40B (#19)
Milwaukee Bucks Milwaukee (#38) 1.58M US$122.2B US$4.30B (#21)
Oklahoma City Thunder Oklahoma City (#47) 1.51M US$95.0B US$4.35B (#20)
New Orleans Pelicans New Orleans (#50) 0.97M US$96.7B US$3.55B (#29)
Memphis Grizzlies Memphis (#51) 1.34M US$97.0B US$3.50B (#30)
Toronto Raptors Outside U.S. DMA system 7.11M CAD 522.4B (~US$401.4B*) US$5.40B (#12)

Data note: Nielsen ranks refer to the 2025-26 TV season. Population figures are 2025 home-metro estimates, while GDP figures are 2022 current-dollar home-metro GDP. DMA and metro boundaries differ, so population and GDP are separate measures of the home market rather than estimates for the Nielsen DMA itself. Forbes figures are franchise enterprise-value estimates, not measures of geographic market size. Toronto's converted GDP is shown only for scale and is not included in the U.S. GDP ranking.

Where the NBA Market Rankings Differ

Media rank, population and GDP measure different parts of a team's home market. A Nielsen DMA is based on local television viewing patterns. Census metro population measures residents inside an official metropolitan area. Metro GDP measures the value of economic activity produced there.

The differences can be large:

  • Golden State plays in the No. 9 television market, while its home metro has 4.63 million residents. Its 2022 GDP was about US$731.7 billion, fourth among the U.S. NBA home metros in this dataset.
  • Miami has about 6.39 million people in its home metro, more than Philadelphia, Boston or Phoenix, but its television market ranks only No. 18.
  • Washington ranks No. 8 by DMA and has 6.47 million people in its home metro. Its economy is even stronger relative to other markets, with a GDP of about US$664.6 billion.
  • San Antonio ranks only No. 31 by DMA despite a home-metro population of about 2.81 million.

Keeping the three measures separate avoids hiding these differences inside one overall market score.

GDP also needs to be read carefully. It shows the scale of the local economy, not the amount of money available to an NBA franchise. A large metro economy includes industries and activity that may have no direct connection with basketball.

Why Toronto Is Different

Toronto cannot receive a U.S. Nielsen DMA rank.

Its home market is large by other measures. Ontario's population data puts the Toronto Census Metropolitan Area at 7.11 million people in 2025. That would place Toronto between Houston and Atlanta if compared with the U.S. home metros by population.

Statistics Canada reports Toronto CMA GDP of about CAD 522.4 billion in 2022. Using the Bank of Canada's 2022 annual average exchange rate, that is roughly US$401.4 billion.

The converted figure is useful for scale, but I do not give Toronto a formal position in the U.S. GDP ranking because the Canadian and U.S. GDP series are not fully harmonized.

Forbes values the Raptors at US$5.4 billion, 12th among all 30 NBA teams. Toronto also has a wider national role because the Raptors are Canada's only NBA franchise, so the local metro does not represent their full potential audience.

How Much Does Market Size Affect NBA Team Value?

The full Forbes dataset shows a clear relationship between market size and franchise value, but it is far from perfect.

I calculated Spearman rank correlations for the 29 U.S. franchises, using each franchise as one observation. Teams that share a market, such as the Knicks and Nets, therefore also share the same DMA, population and GDP figures.

Market Measure Correlation With Forbes Value Rank
Home-metro GDP 0.79
Home-metro population 0.77
Nielsen DMA rank 0.77

A value closer to 1 means that the two rankings tend to move together more closely.

All three measures show a fairly strong relationship with franchise value. GDP has the highest correlation in this dataset, although the difference is small.

The cleanest evidence that market size is not enough comes from teams that share the same market.

The Knicks and Nets have the same DMA, population and home-metro GDP. Forbes values the Knicks at US$9.75 billion and the Nets at US$5.6 billion, a difference of US$4.15 billion. The Lakers and Clippers also share the same media market, population and metro economy. Forbes values the Lakers at US$10 billion and the Clippers at US$7.5 billion, a difference of US$2.5 billion. Geography cannot explain either gap.

There are also large differences elsewhere in the league. Golden State ranks No. 9 by DMA but No. 1 in Forbes value. Miami moves from No. 18 by DMA to No. 8 in franchise value. Oklahoma City moves from No. 47 to No. 20.

Some teams move the other way. Detroit is No. 14 by DMA but No. 27 by franchise value, while Minnesota is No. 16 by DMA and No. 28 by value.

Brand strength, arena economics, sponsorships, team revenue, history and national or international popularity can all affect valuation.

A peer-reviewed study of NBA team values reached a similar broader conclusion. Population and GDP were significant in parts of the analysis, alongside factors such as revenue and championships.

The data therefore suggests that market size matters, but it explains only part of why one NBA franchise is worth more than another.

What NBA Market Size Tells Us

Market size describes the environment around an NBA franchise. It does not measure the quality of the basketball team.

NBA roster building is also limited by the league's salary-cap, luxury-tax and apron rules. Drafting, player development, trades, coaching and management can matter more to results on the court than the size of a team's home market.

Oklahoma City makes the distinction easy to see. The Thunder play in the No. 47 U.S. media market and have the smallest U.S. home-metro GDP in this dataset. Those figures describe their local business environment, not their basketball strength.

DMA also does not measure a team's total audience.

The NBA's 11-year media agreements with Disney, NBCUniversal and Amazon began with the 2025-26 season and run through 2035-36. The NBA's official announcement describes wider distribution across broadcast television and streaming platforms.

League Pass and other digital services also allow fans to follow teams far outside their home markets. A Lakers fan in New York or a Warriors fan in Europe is part of the franchise's wider audience but not its local Nielsen DMA.

For that reason, I use market size as context rather than a complete rating of an NBA franchise. DMA measures local media reach, population shows the size of the home metro, GDP shows its economic scale, and Forbes valuation shows how valuable the team business has become. None of those figures tells the whole story on its own.

Author
Bookmaker Reviewer

I started writing about sports betting in 2020. Since then, I have worked as a journalist, copywriter, and content manager in the betting industry, covering betting news, gambling rules, and sports content. I have also been making sports bets since 2012, mostly on football, Formula 1, and major Counter-Strike tournaments. My background combines professional work in betting media with long personal experience as a sports bettor.

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